Regional programs / Latin America and the Caribbean regional award BOF-0000-P-4051 · 1985–1989 · basic education
When and where will the next damaging earthquake occur in the circum-Pacific region? To determine likely answers, this report summarizes the known seismic history for more than 119 seismic gaps around the region, and describes the potential for future large (Ms 7.0-7.75) and great (Mw 7.76-9.3) earthquake activity in terms of conditional probability for the years 1989-1999. The level of reliability associated with these forecasts varies regionally and is influenced by the completeness of the historic earthquake record and the present understanding of the mode of earthquake rupture in each country. These data are presented in a probabilistic forecast to provide a framework for global comparison. A list is included of the sites most likely to experience a large or great earthquake within the next 10 years: (1) Parkfield, California (93%); (2) Delarof Island, Aleutians (85%); (3) Vankolo Island, Vanuatu (83%); (4) Jama, Ecuador (66%); (5) S. Santo Island, Vanuatu (60%); (6) E. New Britain, New Guinea (59%); (7) W. New Britain, New Guinea (58%); (8) Central Tonga (58%); (9) N. Bougainville, New Guinea (53%); and (10) S.E. Guatemala (51%). For long-term planning, the report provides
Source: DEC abstract, PN-ABE-011 (1989). The source's own text.
Operated in: Oceania, North America, Peru, Central America, Chile, South America, Asia.
When the program ran, from its start year to the latest document year. A hatched bar means the start is our estimate.
Axis: award years, end from years in documents. The start year comes from award fiscal year; the end is the latest document year, so the program may have run longer.
A few documents to read first. Each opens in the side panel, with the PDF to download.
| Name | Role | Years | Basis | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Dept. of the Interior. Bur. of Reclamation | implementer | 1985 | Stated in a document | 1 source |
| U.S. Dept. of the Interior. Geological Survey (USGS). National Earthquake Information Center | implementer | 1989 | Stated in a document | 1 source |
Awards, topics, similar programs and how to read this page.
Scope: regional. Set by the countries the program's documents name most often. Medium confidence.
How sure we are: 0.636.
| Name | Years | Basis | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| BOF-0000-P-4051 (pasa, fiscal year not recorded) | 1985 to 1989 | Stated in a document |
| Name | Years | Basis | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oceania | 1989 | Stated in a document | 1 source |
| North America | 1989 | Stated in a document | 1 source |
| Peru | 1985 | Stated in a document | 1 source |
| Central America | 1989 | Stated in a document | 1 source |
| Chile | 1985 | Stated in a document | 1 source |
| South America | 1989 | Stated in a document | 1 source |
| Asia | 1989 | Stated in a document | 1 source |
| 2 sources |
| Name | Years | Basis | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| USAID. Ofc. of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance (OFDA) | 1985 to 1989 | Stated in a document | 2 sources |
| Name | Years | Basis | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Latin American Regional | 1985 | Stated in a document | 1 source |
Sector profile (computed): Basic education (early childhood, primary, secondary, literacy, teachers) 49%; Disaster readiness, prevention and recovery 20%; Monitoring, evaluation and performance measurement 20%
DEC topic and subject tags. They describe the documents, not what the program was. Each tag opens its evidence in the drawer.
Programs worth reading next, by topic, implementer, country and years. Similar by facets (topic, implementer, country, years) and, when available, description. It says the programs look alike, not how they are related in time. Source: catalog facets
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19 facts shown; 0 unconfirmed links; 0 support mechanisms (not programs); 2 documents cite this program.
Program key awd:BOF-0000-P-4051